Synopsis: Google Finance now integrates live prediction market data from Kalshi and Polymarket, letting users view real-time event probabilities in search results through AI-powered forecasting and crowd-based insights.
Google has taken another leap in financial innovation. In a move that blends artificial intelligence with the “wisdom of the crowds,” Google Finance has begun integrating real-time prediction market data from Kalshi and Polymarket.
The update allows users to view live probabilities of future events directly within search results a feature that could change how people interpret market sentiment and forecasts.
Real-Time Forecasting Comes to Search
Starting in the coming weeks, users can type natural questions like “Will the Fed cut rates in December?” into Google’s search bar and receive live probabilities, trend charts, and sentiment changes over time. This marks a major shift in how financial data is accessed no longer limited to stock quotes and charts but expanding to community-driven forecasting.
The data, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, gives snapshot metrics such as “65% chance of recession in 2025” or the likelihood of Apple’s next earnings beat. Rose Yao, a Google Product Leader, described this as adding “support for prediction markets so you can harness the wisdom of the crowds.” Users can now watch how these odds evolve much like tracking a share price.
Frankly, it feels refreshing to see Google modernize Finance into something more interactive and human-centric rather than just a data board.
Merging AI with Market Wisdom
The new feature comes with Google’s broader AI revamp under its Gemini-powered Deep Search. It combines predictive analytics with summarized financial context, pulling together earnings highlights, sentiment shifts, and probability dashboards. The update makes Google Finance more proactive offering not just what happened, but what could happen next.
At launch, access will be available to early testers via Google Labs. The rollout begins in the U.S. and India, supporting both English and Hindi. As someone tracking India’s tech engagement closely, it’s exciting to see Google acknowledge the country’s 100 million-plus investor community as a key audience. Broader access is expected by early 2026.
Importantly, Google clarified that it doesn’t facilitate actual betting. It treats the data as informational, much like opinion polls a way to see what diverse participants think about potential outcomes.
About Kalshi and Polymarket
Polymarket, founded in 2020, operates on the Polygon blockchain and lets users trade on real-world events from elections to sports or even quirky questions like “Will UFO files be declassified by 2027?”
Recently valued at $9 billion after investment from the New York Stock Exchange’s parent company, Polymarket hit record trading volume above $1 billion monthly. It plans a full U.S. relaunch later this month.
Kalshi, established in 2018, is a regulated event exchange recognized by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It focuses on economics, weather, and financial outcomes, maintaining more than 60% global market share in event contracts. In 2025 alone, Kalshi’s trading volume soared to an annualized $50 billion.
Both platforms celebrated the Google partnership with enthusiasm. Polymarket announced the integration on X (formerly Twitter), while Kalshi’s CEO Tarek Mansour called it “big news” for prediction data. It’s easy to see why the integration brings mainstream exposure that smaller platforms rarely enjoy.
The Broader Impact
The addition comes during a boom in prediction markets, which topped $100 billion in global volume this year. Analysts view Google’s move as a watershed moment signaling that prediction markets are graduating from niche communities to recognized financial indicators.
For investors, this could bridge the gap between hard financial data and crowd psychology. It democratizes forecasting insight, helping retail users gauge market sentiment without niche tools. For institutions, Kalshi’s regulatory pedigree adds trust, while Polymarket brings blockchain transparency.
Critics warn that odds can be influenced by large traders, but supporters compare it to how liquidity affects stock prices. In truth, both rely on collective confidence.
This can be seen as more than just another feature it’s a quiet revolution. By merging AI insights with crowd-driven probabilities, Google might be defining what the future of financial data looks like: participatory, smart, and predictive.
Written By Fazal Ul Vahab C H