{"id":143136,"date":"2025-01-21T16:27:09","date_gmt":"2025-01-21T10:57:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/?p=143136"},"modified":"2025-01-21T16:27:12","modified_gmt":"2025-01-21T10:57:12","slug":"nifty-50-down-by-1-5-today-can-it-fall-below-22000-before-the-union-budget","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/nifty-50-down-by-1-5-today-can-it-fall-below-22000-before-the-union-budget\/","title":{"rendered":"Nifty 50 down by 1.5% today; Can it fall below 22,000 before the Union Budget?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"trade-content_2\" style=\"margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;text-align: center;\" id=\"trade-728662696\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/get\/telegram\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-101992\" src=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/telegram-channel-300x119.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"148\" height=\"59\" \/><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMN3Epgswxc--Aw?hl=en-IN&amp;gl=IN&amp;ceid=IN%3Aen\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-123430\" src=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/follow-on-google-news-300x82.png\" alt=\"follow-on-google-news\" width=\"222\" height=\"61\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/follow-on-google-news-300x82.png 300w, https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/follow-on-google-news-150x41.png 150w, https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/follow-on-google-news.png 468w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 222px) 100vw, 222px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><p>The Indian stock market stands at a critical juncture, facing multiple potential challenges that could trigger a significant market correction. Investors are navigating a complex landscape marked by year-end mutual fund portfolio adjustments, foreign institutional investor profit booking, geopolitical tensions, and uncertainties surrounding global economic policies.&nbsp;<\/p><div class=\"trade-content_7\" style=\"margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;text-align: center;\" id=\"trade-4076195847\"><!-- Composite Start --> \r\n <div id=\"M923760ScriptRootC1549812\"> \r\n <\/div> \r\n <script src=\"https:\/\/jsc.mgid.com\/t\/r\/tradebrains.in.1549812.js\" async> \r\n <\/script> \r\n <!-- Composite End --><\/div><p>The Nifty index faces potential volatility from factors including Federal Reserve decisions, Middle East instability, rupee depreciation, and upcoming policies by US President Donald Trump, creating an atmosphere of cautious anticipation among market participants.&nbsp;<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Technical Analysis&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2><p>Going by the Nifty 50 chart we can see that during the Indian Parliamentary elections, the Nifty dropped drastically to the levels of 21,290 post elections only to bounce back from there sharply. The Index not only recovered but also went ahead and hit a lifetime high at 26,277.&nbsp;<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"552\" src=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/NIFTY_2025-01-21_15-23-38-1024x552.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-143137\" style=\"width:1086px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/NIFTY_2025-01-21_15-23-38-980x529.png 980w, https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/NIFTY_2025-01-21_15-23-38-480x259.png 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Formation of Inverse Cup &amp; Handle Pattern&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2><p>Additionally, the Nifty has broken below the 23,200 which acted as the neckline for the nverse cup &amp; handle pattern that we can spot on the chart. This pattern signals further downside and bearish momentum.<\/p><div class=\"trade-content_5\" id=\"trade-2639447726\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-4023722985638610\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- in_content_2_news -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-4023722985638610\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7925020301\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><p>However, this could also be a good buying zone for long-term investors as there exists multiple support for the NIfty 50.&nbsp;<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Strong Support Levels&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2><h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Support 1&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h3><p>The first strong support lies at Rs. 22794 which acted as a stiff resistance in April and May last year. As we know a strong resistance turns into a strong support once the market crosses above it. Therefore, 22794 could act as the first level to add some amount for the long term.&nbsp;<\/p><h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Support 2&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h3><p>The second strong support lies at the 22361 level which corresponds to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level when drawn from the lows of 21290 which was the lowest after after Indian Parliamentary Elections.&nbsp;<\/p><h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Support 3&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h3><p>The third and final support lies at the low of 21290 which was the low after the Indian elections and also corresponds to the last 6 months low.&nbsp;<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>What\u2019s Causing the jitteriness in Nifty 50?&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2><h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Impact of Tariffs on Global Trade&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h3><p>The policies proposed by U.S. President Donald Trump, particularly the introduction of tariffs on goods imported from countries like China, Canada, and Mexico, have disrupted global trade dynamics. These measures lead to retaliatory tariffs, escalating tensions between major global powers. For India, this results in shifting trade balances, affecting the country&#8217;s exports and imports. With both the U.S. and China engaged in trade wars, India could face indirect consequences, especially in sectors where competition between these two giants directly impacts Indian industries.&nbsp;<\/p><h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Tensions Between the U.S. and China&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h3><p>Trump\u2019s hardline stance on China, particularly regarding Taiwan and trade practices, has created geopolitical tensions that threaten global stability. The risk of a full-blown conflict between these superpowers, while not imminent, remains a significant source of uncertainty for global markets. As a rapidly growing economy with heavy trade dependencies, India is vulnerable to these geopolitical tensions. Any escalation of the U.S.-China conflict could lead to market instability, affecting investor confidence in emerging markets like India.&nbsp;<\/p><div class=\"trade-content-10\" id=\"trade-2781585052\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-4023722985638610\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- in_content_3_news -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-4023722985638610\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"2969612066\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Fluctuations in Oil Prices&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h3><p>Trump\u2019s policy shifts, especially regarding oil production, contribute to fluctuations in global oil prices. The decision to increase domestic oil production and withdraw from international climate<\/p><p>agreements, such as the Paris Agreement, leads to price volatility. For India, a major oil importer, this impacts import costs, inflation, and trade deficits, creating a ripple effect on the broader economy.&nbsp;<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Impact on the Indian IT Sector&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2><p>The proposed changes to H1-B visa rules by Trump\u2019s administration have created significant uncertainty for the Indian IT sector. As a major exporter of IT services to the U.S., these visa restrictions could limit the ability of Indian professionals to work in the U.S., potentially slowing growth in this critical sector. Consequently, investor sentiment in India\u2019s stock markets is affected, leading to increased market volatility.&nbsp;<\/p><blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><strong>Written By: Dipangshu Kundu&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote><p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/warning-disclaimer-300x300.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-26306\"\/><\/figure><\/div><p><strong>The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts\/broking houses\/rating agencies on <a href=\"http:\/\/tradebrains.in\/\">tradebrains.in<\/a> are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution while investing or trading in stocks. Dailyraven Technologies or the author are not liable for any losses caused as a result of the decision based on this article. Please consult your investment advisor before investing<\/strong>.<\/p><div class=\"trade-after-content\" id=\"trade-1184731669\"><div id=\"taboola-below-article-thumbnails\"><\/div>\r\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\r\n  window._taboola = window._taboola || [];\r\n  _taboola.push({\r\n    mode: 'alternating-thumbnails-a',\r\n    container: 'taboola-below-article-thumbnails',\r\n    placement: 'Below Article Thumbnails',\r\n    target_type: 'mix'\r\n  });\r\n<\/script>\r\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\r\n  window._taboola = window._taboola || [];\r\n  _taboola.push({flush: true});\r\n<\/script><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Indian stock market stands at a critical juncture, facing multiple potential challenges that could trigger a significant market correction. Investors are navigating a complex landscape marked by year-end mutual fund portfolio adjustments, foreign institutional investor profit booking, geopolitical tensions, and uncertainties surrounding global economic policies.&nbsp; The Nifty index faces potential volatility from factors including [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":109371,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[31,1789],"tags":[26421,948,936,3157,2577],"class_list":["post-143136","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-trending-news","tag-nifty-50-down","tag-stock-market","tag-stock-market-news","tag-stock-to-watch","tag-union-budget"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v20.5 (Yoast SEO v25.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Nifty 50 down by 1.5% today; Can it fall below 22,000 before the Union Budget? - Trade Brains Features<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/nifty-50-down-by-1-5-today-can-it-fall-below-22000-before-the-union-budget\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nifty 50 down by 1.5% today; Can it fall below 22,000 before the Union Budget?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Indian stock market stands at a critical juncture, facing multiple potential challenges that could trigger a significant market correction. 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