{"id":147039,"date":"2025-04-06T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-06T06:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/?p=147039"},"modified":"2025-04-06T10:32:55","modified_gmt":"2025-04-06T05:02:55","slug":"global-recession-fears-rise-is-nifty-headed-for-21500","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/global-recession-fears-rise-is-nifty-headed-for-21500\/","title":{"rendered":"Global Recession Fears Rise: Is Nifty Headed for 21,500?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"trade-content_2\" style=\"margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;text-align: center;\" id=\"trade-888680212\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/get\/telegram\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-101992\" src=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/telegram-channel-300x119.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"148\" height=\"59\" \/><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/publications\/CAAqBwgKMN3Epgswxc--Aw?hl=en-IN&amp;gl=IN&amp;ceid=IN%3Aen\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-123430\" src=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/follow-on-google-news-300x82.png\" alt=\"follow-on-google-news\" width=\"222\" height=\"61\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/follow-on-google-news-300x82.png 300w, https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/follow-on-google-news-150x41.png 150w, https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/follow-on-google-news.png 468w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 222px) 100vw, 222px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><p><a href=\"https:\/\/portal.tradebrains.in\/stocks\/EMKAY\">Emkay Global<\/a>, a well-known Indian brokerage firm, sees a further downside for Indian equities in Q1 FY26, stating that the Nifty index might fall to 21,500 in the next three months. The firm also warns of a potential 3 percent risk to their FY26 Nifty EPS estimate of Rs 1,160, majorly due to technology earnings cuts.<\/p><div class=\"trade-content_7\" style=\"margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;text-align: center;\" id=\"trade-3428582288\"><!-- Composite Start --> \r\n <div id=\"M923760ScriptRootC1549812\"> \r\n <\/div> \r\n <script src=\"https:\/\/jsc.mgid.com\/t\/r\/tradebrains.in.1549812.js\" async> \r\n <\/script> \r\n <!-- Composite End --><\/div><p>The main reason for this fall would be recession fears in the US after President Donald Trump\u2019s new reciprocal tariffs. Even though the tariffs themselves may not harm India directly, the bigger threat is the ripple effect, which involves a significant U.S. recession, lower Indian company profits, and lower investor confidence.\u00a0<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Sectors at Risk<\/strong><\/h2><p>Among sectors, metals are likely to be hit the hardest if tariffs are intensified due to their direct exposure to global prices and trade disruptions. Technology stocks could also see significant pressure, not just because of earnings risks but because their higher weight would have a bigger impact on the overall market. Furthermore, auto and chemical companies also seem to be in danger.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Policy changes Unlikely&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2><p>Commenting on the fiscal policy, the firm said that the government is unlikely to bring major changes as easing both monetary and fiscal policy simultaneously could risk the country\u2019s financial stability, especially when the global economy is uncertain.<\/p><div class=\"trade-content_5\" id=\"trade-1336336149\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-4023722985638610\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- in_content_2_news -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-4023722985638610\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"7925020301\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Long Term Target<\/strong><\/h2><p>Despite all this, Emkay still believes that Nifty can rise to 26,000 in the long run. They\u2019ve extended their long-term target timeline to March 2026 (from December 2025). This forecast is based on a revised FY27 Nifty EPS estimate of Rs 1,320 and a target valuation of 20x, in line with the long-term average.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Price Movement&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2><p>A majority of the sectors traded in the red in Friday\u2019s trading session. Nifty closed at 22,904.45, marking a 1.5 percent decrease or 346-point drop from the previous close. A key support zone seems to lie around 21,800 where buyers may step in. The RSI RSI stands at 45.93, slightly below the neutral 50 levels, suggesting that the market may be weak but not yet oversold.&nbsp;<\/p><p>Indian markets have shown milder losses compared to its global peers. The Nasdaq fell 6% overnight, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei slipped over 3%, and Australia&#8217;s ASX 200 declined 2.5%.&nbsp;<\/p><blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><strong>Written by Shwetha Saira<\/strong>m<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/tradebrains.in\/features\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/warning-disclaimer-300x300.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-26306\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n<p><strong>The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts\/broking houses\/rating agencies on <a href=\"http:\/\/tradebrains.in\/\">tradebrains.in<\/a> are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Investing in equities poses a risk of financial losses. Investors must therefore exercise due caution while investing or trading in stocks. Dailyraven Technologies or the author are not liable for any losses caused as a result of the decision based on this article. Please consult your investment advisor before investing<\/strong>.<\/p><\/blockquote><div class=\"trade-after-content\" id=\"trade-4041123947\"><div id=\"taboola-below-article-thumbnails\"><\/div>\r\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\r\n  window._taboola = window._taboola || [];\r\n  _taboola.push({\r\n    mode: 'alternating-thumbnails-a',\r\n    container: 'taboola-below-article-thumbnails',\r\n    placement: 'Below Article Thumbnails',\r\n    target_type: 'mix'\r\n  });\r\n<\/script>\r\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\r\n  window._taboola = window._taboola || [];\r\n  _taboola.push({flush: true});\r\n<\/script><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Emkay Global, a well-known Indian brokerage firm, sees a further downside for Indian equities in Q1 FY26, stating that the Nifty index might fall to 21,500 in the next three months. The firm also warns of a potential 3 percent risk to their FY26 Nifty EPS estimate of Rs 1,160, majorly due to technology earnings [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":50355,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[31,1789],"tags":[8693],"class_list":["post-147039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-trending-news","tag-emkay-global"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v20.5 (Yoast SEO v25.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Global Recession Fears Rise: Is Nifty Headed for 21,500? - Trade Brains Features<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Emkay Global, a well-known Indian brokerage firm, sees a further downside for Indian equities in Q1 FY26, stating that the Nifty index might fall to 21,500 in the next three months. 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