Today, we recommend two stocks, both from the FMCG sector, recommended by the Trade Brains Portal, to buy for an upside potential of more than 19%. FMCG, India’s fourth-largest sector, has been experiencing consistent growth due to higher disposable income, an expanding youth demographic, supportive government policies, and increasing brand awareness among consumers.
1. ITC Ltd
- Current price: ₹ 417
- Target price: ₹ 495
- Upside: 18.7%
- Time frame: 12 Months
To view the report for the stock mentioned above or explore other stock recommendations, click here
Why it’s recommended
One of the biggest FMCG corporations in India, ITC has a broad portfolio of businesses in the fast-moving consumer goods, paperboard and packaging, agribusiness, and information technology sectors. The company is the market leader in India’s paperboard and packaging industry. ITC Consumer Goods has built a solid reputation over the last ten years with about twenty-five premium Indian brands, including Yippee, Sunfeast, and Aashirvaad.
In Q1FY26, strong growth was registered in gross revenue, which stood at Rs 23,007 crore, up 20% YoY, driven by Cigarettes, agribusiness, and FMCG. EBITDA stood at Rs 6,816, up 4.2% YoY, whereas PAT stood at Rs 5,343 crore, up by 4.9% YoY. The cigarettes segment revenue grew by 7.6% YoY as of Q1FY26 and stood at Rs 8,520 crore, whereas the FMCG segment grew by 5.2% YoY and stood at Rs 5,777 crore. Agribusiness has done very well in Q1FY26, as it has registered an astounding growth of 38.9% YoY and stood at Rs 9,685 crore, driven by trading opportunities in bulk commodities & exports of leaf tobacco.
The company has a competitive advantage because of its vertically integrated supply chain and robust network of 27,500 farmers across 1.4 lakh acres of certified organic land in 10 states. Additionally, the business paid Rs 50.6 crore to buy Mother Sparsh Baby Care Private Limited (also known as “Mother Sparsh”), a company that operates in the high-end ayurvedic and natural baby care.
ITC has now increased its shareholding from 26.50% to 39.47%. Over two to three years, ITC invested Rs 81 crore, or a total of Rs 126 crore, to purchase the remaining 73.5% of Mother Sparsh. The company has forayed into a new segment of the FoodTech business under its ITC Next strategy; this segment’s GMV crossed Rs 100 crore in FY25 with 60 cloud kitchens across 5 cities.
Risk Factor
The company’s tobacco division is heavily regulated. The business may be significantly impacted by any regulatory development. They make a major profit from the tobacco business. The company is exposed to raw material risk as agricultural commodities are vulnerable to climate change. Crop yield variation may harm the agri-business operations of the company.
2. Godrej Consumer Products Ltd
- Current price: ₹ 1,250
- Target price: ₹ 1,495
- Upside: 19.6%
- Time frame: 12-14 months
To view the report for the stock mentioned above or explore other stock recommendations, click here
Why it’s recommended
This well-known FMCG company in emerging markets offers a wide range of products, such as soaps, hair color, air fresheners, and household insecticides. Its production facilities are located in Tamil Nadu, Madhya Pradesh, Meghalaya, Assam, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, Puducherry, and Sikkim. The business generates revenue from a variety of product categories and geographical areas. It is a major player in the hair care and household insecticide markets. The business serves more than 1.2 billion customers across 85 countries, with a significant presence in Latin America, Asia, and Africa. Among its portfolio are some well-known brands, including Godrej Aer, Park Avenue, Goodknight, Cinthol, KamaSutra, and HIT.
In FY25, the company’s consolidated volume grew by 4%. Total revenue as of FY25 stood at Rs 14,680 crore, growing by 2% YoY, and EBITDA stood at Rs 3,319 crore, growing by 3.3% YoY. The company has been successful in increasing its EBITDA margin through efforts like premiumization, better ad spend, and better realizations in international markets. Indonesia business continues to be stable with 5% volume growth and 9% EBITDA growth due to better distribution scale-up and successful launch of new products like Shampoo Hair Color and HI Electrics, etc.
By FY27, the company also hopes to have 2 billion customers. In addition, it entered a new market: pet foods, under the name “Godrej Ninja.” With an investment of Rs 500 crore spread over five years. It is focusing on grabbing India’s pet care market, which is valued at approximately Rs 6,000 crore, with pet food accounting for Rs 5,000 crore.
Risk Factor
Any supply chain interruptions, currency fluctuations, or geopolitical tensions could have a detrimental effect on GCPL’s margins because of its substantial presence in Asia, Africa, and Latin America. In the short term, its profitability may suffer from a rise or fall in the price of raw materials, particularly palm oil.
Market Recap August 4, 2025
On Monday, the Nifty 50 index opened at 24,596.05, up 30.7 points from its closing price of 24,565.35 on Friday. Over the day, the index steadily increased, peaking at 24,736.25 intraday and closing at 24,722.75, up 157.40 points or 0.64%. In the daily time frame, it was below the 20 & 50 EMAs but above the 100 and 200 EMAs. At 41.83, its RSI was much below the 70-point overbought zone. The BSE Sensex started similarly, rising 165.92 points from the previous close of 80,599.91 to open at 80,765.83. The index gained 418.81 points or 0.52%, to close at 81,018.72.
The index was trading below 20 & 50 EMAs but above the 100 and 200 EMAs in the daily timeframe, and the RSI of 41.27 was much below the 70-point overbought zone. The Indian markets showed positive momentum with gains in Metal, Realty, and Auto stocks, also an increasing expectation of a US interest rate cut among the investors helped offset the concerns over American tariffs on Indian exports.
Only a few sector indices were down on Monday, while most were up. The Nifty Metal Index was one of the biggest winners, closing the day at 9,327.85, up 225.5 points, or 2.5% driven by strong gains from key players, particularly SAIL, which saw a significant increase of 4.5%, followed by Tata Steel, rose by 4.3%, Jindal Steel, NALCO and Hindustan Copper all followed the lead gaining upto 3.7% on Monday. The Nifty Realty Index also ended the day higher, closing at 912.05, up 1.8%, or 15.90 points. Lodha Developers remained the major winner, rose by 3%, followed by Godrej Properties, Prestige Estates, and DLF, all gained by up to 2.5% today.
On the sectoral losers front, Nifty FMCG closed lower on Monday at 56,139.6, dropping by 57.40 points or 0.10%, after posting gains for five consecutive sessions. Stocks including Radico Khaitan Ltd, Godrej Consumer Products, Emami Ltd, and Dabur India Ltd, fell up to 1.5%, mainly due to profit booking. Nifty Finance Index also ended in red, at 26,476, down by 15.90 points or 0.06%, with stocks like HDFC Bank Ltd, ICICI Bank Ltd, and HDFC Life Insurance Company dropping up to 1%.
Asian markets were broadly positive, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index gaining 146.19 points, or 0.59%, to close at 24,654. Similarly, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,583.31, gaining 23.36 points, or 0.65%. South Korea’s KOSPI Index was at 3,147.75, up 28.34 points, or 0.9%. However, Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index closed in the red at 40,263, losing -536.60 points, or -1.33%. The US Dow Jones Futures were trading at 43,789.17, up 200.59 points, or 0.46%, as of 4:44 p.m. IST.
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