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Synopsis: Nykaa has delivered a year of strong revenue growth, improving margins and faster profit growth. However, its shares continue to trade at a premium valuation of around 400x earnings, making it one of the market’s most debated stocks. Is the stock watchlist worthy or just too expensive? 

India’s beauty, personal care and fashion market is becoming one of the most interesting consumer stories in the country. Rising income levels, premiumisation, online shopping, faster delivery and stronger brand awareness are changing how people buy beauty and lifestyle products. This is helping platforms that already have scale, customer trust and strong brand relationships.

FSN E-Commerce Ventures, the parent company of Nykaa, is one such business. The stock is currently trading around Rs. 300-317, but the debate is not just about growth anymore. The bigger question is whether a company trading at very high valuations of around 400x can grow its profits fast enough to justify the price. 

What Does Nykaa Actually Do?

Nykaa is no longer just an online beauty app. It has become a wider beauty, fashion and lifestyle ecosystem. Its Beauty vertical includes online beauty, physical retail stores, House of Nykaa beauty brands and Nykaa Superstore. Its Fashion vertical includes Nykaa Fashion, fashion private brands, Nykaa Man lifestyle and the LBB business.

In simple terms, Nykaa makes money in multiple ways. It sells third-party beauty and fashion products online, sells through physical stores, builds its own brands, distributes products to retailers through its eB2B business and is also building faster delivery through Nykaa Now. This means the company is not dependent on only one revenue engine.

The biggest strength remains Beauty. Beauty customers tend to repeat purchases more often because products like skincare, sunscreen, makeup, haircare and fragrances are used regularly. This gives Nykaa better customer stickiness compared with categories like fashion, where demand can be more seasonal and less predictable.

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FY26 Was A Strong Year For Growth And Margins

Nykaa’s FY26 performance showed that the company is not just growing sales, but also improving profitability. In Q1FY26, GMV grew 26 percent year-on-year to Rs. 4,182 crore, net revenue grew 23 percent to Rs. 2,155 crore, EBITDA grew 46 percent to Rs. 141 crore and PAT stood at Rs. 24 crore which was a 79 percent year-on-year growth.

The growth continued in Q2FY26. GMV increased 30 percent year-on-year to Rs. 4,744 crore, which management called the highest year-on-year growth in six quarters. Net revenue stood at Rs. 2,346 crore, while EBITDA rose by 53 percent to Rs. 159 crore and PAT came in at Rs. 33 crore translating into 154 percent.

Q3FY26 was even stronger because it is a seasonally important quarter. GMV grew 28 percent year-on-year to Rs. 5,795 crore and net revenue reached Rs. 2,873 crore. EBITDA stood at Rs. 230 crore, a 63 percent growth on yearly basis. PAT grew 156 percent Rs. 68 crore. The company also said its EBITDA margin was the highest ever at that point.

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Q4FY26 then gave another confirmation of the profitability story. GMV and net revenue both grew 28 percent year-on-year. Net revenue stood at Rs. 2,648 crore, gross profit was Rs. 1,203 crore, EBITDA was Rs. 223 crore, a 67 percent growth on yearly basis. PAT grew by 313 percent year-on-year to Rs. 79 crore. 

For the full year, Nykaa crossed Rs. 10,000 crore of net revenue for the first time. Full-year EBITDA was Rs. 752 crore and PAT was Rs. 204 crore. This makes the trailing twelve months Profit CAGR at 217 percent. 

The important point is that PAT grew much faster than revenue. This is why the stock is getting attention despite high valuations. The market is not only looking at today’s profit; it is looking at what profits may become if margins keep expanding.

Why Are Margins Improving?

Nykaa’s margin expansion has not come from one single factor. It is coming from multiple small improvements across the business.

First, the Beauty business is becoming more profitable. In Q3FY26, Beauty EBITDA margin reached 10.1 percent for the quarter, while Fashion losses narrowed sharply. This matters because Beauty is the company’s largest and strongest vertical.

Second, Fashion is hurting less than before. In Q1FY26, Fashion EBITDA margin was still negative at minus 6.2 percent, although that was already a 300 basis point improvement from the previous year. By Q2FY26, Fashion EBITDA margin improved to minus 3.5 percent, compared with minus 9.0 percent a year ago. Management said renewed growth in Fashion helped spread costs over larger sales. By the end of Q4 the EBITDA margin improved to minus 2.6 percent.

Third, the House of Nykaa brands are scaling quickly. These are Nykaa’s own brands, such as Dot & Key, Kay Beauty and Nykaa Cosmetics. Owned brands can be more attractive because Nykaa controls the brand economics rather than only earning platform margins. In Q4FY26, management said House of Nykaa delivered Rs. 3,176 crore of GMV in FY26, growing around 50 percent year-on-year and serving more than 17 million consumers.

Fourth, Elara Capital highlighted clear margin levers, including private labels and owned brands, high-margin advertising revenues (expected CAGR of ~40%), reduction in eB2B losses, improving Fashion profitability and operating leverage across the platform. This is the main reason profits can grow much faster than sales.

Management’s FY30 Ambition

Management has set an ambitious long-term plan. According to the Investor Day data and brokerage summaries, Nykaa is targeting consolidated GMV and revenue to grow 2.5-3 times by FY30, while EBITDA is expected to grow 4-5 times. The company also wants EBITDA margins to move from 7.5 percent in FY26 to early-to-mid teens over time.

For Beauty, management is aiming for 2.5-3 times GMV growth by FY30. The Beauty customer base is targeted to more than double from 45 million in FY26 to around 100 million by FY30. Store count is also expected to rise from 313 stores in FY26 to around 600 stores by FY30.

For Fashion, the ambition is even more aggressive. Management is targeting a growth of 3-3.5 times by FY30 and high-single-digit EBITDA margin. This would be a major change because Fashion was still loss-making in FY26.

For Superstore, Nykaa is targeting around Rs. 35 billion GMV and EBITDA breakeven by FY30. HDFC Securities noted that the business has onboarded 493,000 retailers and is present across 1,250 cities, with growth expected to be driven by expansion into smaller towns.

Why The Valuation Debate Is Complicated

The bullish argument is simple. Nykaa has a strong Beauty business, growing owned brands, improving Fashion losses and multiple margin levers. Elara Capital expects revenue to grow from Rs. 100,224 million in FY26 to Rs. 203,244 million by FY29. EBITDA is expected to rise from Rs. 7,523 million to Rs. 20,543 million, while adjusted PAT is expected to rise from Rs. 2,214 million to Rs. 11,997 million.

That is why the high P/E looks less scary if earnings compound rapidly. Elara even upgraded the stock, saying the premium valuation is supported by Nykaa’s market position, lower competitive intensity, owned-brand expansion and improving earnings visibility.

But the cautious view is also important. HDFC Securities argued that management’s ambitions are lofty. It said Nykaa benefited from strong tailwinds during FY24-FY26, including fast growth in House of Nykaa, eB2B and benign competition. It also warned that those tailwinds may not repeat in the same strength over FY26-FY30.

Fashion is another key risk. HDFC said Nykaa’s Fashion AOV and purchase frequency already seem optimised. To reach management’s FY30 goals, the company needs to add high-AOV categories, improve advertising income, increase own-brand salience, improve retention and reduce returns. It also pointed out that Nykaa spends around two times more per order in Fashion than in Beauty because Fashion is less sticky.

Watchlist Worthy Or Too Expensive?

Nykaa is clearly a high-quality consumer internet business. FY26 showed strong revenue growth, improving margins, better Fashion profitability and rising contribution from owned brands. The company is also generating a clearer path towards higher EBITDA and PAT.

But the valuation is demanding. At around 400 times earnings, investors are not paying for what Nykaa is today. They are paying for what Nykaa could become by FY29 or FY30. That means the company has to keep delivering strong growth, margin expansion, Fashion improvement and owned-brand scale-up.

Nykaa looks watchlist worthy because the business is improving in the right areas. But at such high valuations, it is also an expensive bet where future execution has to be very strong. For investors, the key question is not whether Nykaa is a good company. The real question is whether the profit growth ahead is strong enough to justify the price already being paid today.

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  • Manan is a Financial Analyst tracking Indian equity markets, corporate earnings, and key sectoral developments. He specialises in analysing company performance, market trends, and policy factors shaping investor sentiment.

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